The Company-specific factor is applied to certain loan categories to capture company-specific conditions for which national/regional statistics are not available. As noted in our initial response, below is a description of the Company-specific qualitative factors utilized:
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In the second quarter of 2012, adjustment factors ranging from 0.80% to 11.60% were added to the Pass and Special Mention-rated commercial mortgage category in consideration of the refinance risk associated with loans maturing over the next two years. The maximum of the range, 11.60%, is considered anomalous in nature as it represents the refinance risk associated with one individual borrower within one subsector. All other subsector refinance risk factors fell below 2.55%. Adjustment factors were not added to Substandard-rated loans due to the enhanced level of monitoring devoted to these credits, with impairment analysis performed as indicated.
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In the second quarter of 2012, an adjustment factor of 0.25% was added in recognition of the delegation of increased credit authority to line division management and changes in the underwriting and approval process for small business lending. This change involved moving from a judgmental underwriting process for all loans to a score-based approval process below a certain loan size threshold, and a streamlined judgmental process augmented by relationship officer involvement above a certain loan size threshold.
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In the first quarter of 2013, benchmark loss rates of 3.00% were applied to loans generated via recent preapproved and invitation to apply promotions in the direct consumer category until historical loss data has been accumulated. Also, a weighted adjustment factor of 6.03% was applied to the syndicated loan portfolio based on Moody’s proxy default rates to account for increased risk associated with recent entrance into this sector and risk exposure attributed to the size of individual credits.
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In the second quarter of 2013, an adjustment factor of 0.50% was subtracted from the Pass-rated residential mortgage category in consideration of the continued disparity between actual calculated historical loss rates and the loss rates ranging from 2.38% to 2.72% recommended by our primary regulator in 2010.
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In the third quarter of 2013, benchmark loss rates of 3.00% were applied to the student loans in the direct consumer category until historical loss data has been accumulated for this loan category.
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In all future filings the Company will expand its disclosures to add a section titled “Application of Proxies.” This section will provide disclosures consistent with the following:
Our Allowance for Loan and Lease Losses methodology uses qualitative adjustments for economic/market conditions and Company-specific conditions. The economic/market conditions factor is applied on a regional/geographic basis. Two key indicators, unemployment and personal income comprise the economic/market adjustment factor.
Personal income is analyzed by comparing average quarter-to-quarter percentage change trends reported by the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis. Specifically, the rolling four (4) quarter average percentage change in personal income is calculated and compared to a baseline historical factor, calculated as the average quarter-to-quarter percentage change over the prior ten years. The difference between the current average change and the historical average change is utilized as the personal income component of the economic/market adjustment factor.
The second component of the economic/market factor, unemployment, is derived by comparing the current quarter unemployment rate, reported by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, to its ten (10) year historical average. A constant scaling factor is applied to the difference between the current rate and the historical average in order to smooth significant period-to-period fluctuations. The result is utilized as the unemployment component of the economic factor. The personal income factor and unemployment factor are added together to determine each region’s total economic/market adjustment factor.
The general allowance also incorporates qualitative adjustment factors that capture company-specific conditions for which national/regional statistics are not available, or for which significant localized market specific events have not yet been captured within regional statistics or the Company's historical loss experience.
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Please discuss the specific nature of the loss factors considered in developing the “unallocated” component of the reserve and quantify the amount allocated to each of the factors. Discuss why the environmental or qualitative factors used to determine the general component of the allowance for loan and leases do not capture these loss factors.
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Response:
The Company maintains the unallocated portion of the Allowance as a reserve for potential global events that could indirectly adversely impact any of the principal components of the Hawaii economy and that cannot be captured in our methodology’s historical experience base. The Company considers several global economic risks and uncertainties in developing the unallocated component of the Allowance. The Company applies qualitative adjustments based on our assessment of these factors which are described in the draft disclosure below. We do not specifically quantify the amount allocated to each factor as we believe that the factors are interrelated and should be considered as a whole rather than individually.
The Company’s credit profile has trended toward a more normalized profile in recent years and as a result the percentage of the specific reserve component, or ASC 310 (formerly FAS 114), has reduced from 10.1%, or $19.5 million at year end 2010, to 0.4% or $300,000 at year end 2013. This normalized trend to greater reliance on general reserves, or ASC 450 (formerly FAS 5), has been paralleled by an increase in the unallocated component due to changes in factors which influence the unallocated and in consideration of the Company’s increasing reliance on general reserves.
The unallocated component of the Allowance was $6 million, $6 million, $4 million, and $2 million for the years ended December 31, 2013, 2012, 2011, and 2010, respectively. Expressed as a percentage of the Company’s outstanding loans and leases it was 0.23%, 0.27%, 0.19%, and 0.09% over the respective periods.
Beginning in the second quarter of 2014, the Company has adopted an enhancement to the procedures described above which will limit the unallocated component of the Allowance as a percentage of the then current ASC 450 component of the reserve, rounded upward to the nearest $500,000. This is derived by taking the historical average of the percentage of the unallocated component to the ASC 450 component over the maximum look back period prescribed in our methodology. For the second quarter of 2014, this percentage is 5.2%, which compares to 7.7%, 6.9%, 3.4%, and 1.2% for the years ended December 31, 2013, 2012, 2011, and 2010, respectively.
We will revise all future filings to provide disclosure consistent with the discussion below:
The Company may also maintain an unallocated Allowance amount to provide for other credit losses inherent in our loan and lease portfolio that may not have been contemplated in the credit loss factors. The unallocated reserve is a measure to address judgmental estimates that are inevitably imprecise and it reflects an adjustment to the Allowance that is not attributable to specific categories of the loan portfolio. The unallocated reserve is distinct from and not captured in the Company’s qualitative adjustments in the general component of the Allowance. As discussed in the “Application of Proxies” section, our qualitative adjustments in the general component of our Allowance capture regional changes in personal income and unemployment rates, as well as Company specific conditions. Therefore these qualitative adjustments only capture direct and specific risks to our portfolio, whereas the unallocated reserve is intended to capture broader national and global economic risks that could potentially have a ripple effect on our loan portfolio.
As of December 31, 2013, a $6.0 million unallocated estimate was based on the Company’s qualitative assessment of the potential impact of any individual or combination of the following conditions : 1) nascent but fleeting trends of progress by the monetary and fiscal policies to stimulate a sustained period of domestic economic recovery; 2) continued economic instability in Europe and other segments of the international economy; 3) volatile oil and commodity prices; 4) inconsistent domestic consumer sentiment; 5) uncertainty over sequestration, the debt ceiling, and other fiscal and monetary policy matter in light of the unsettled domestic political climate.
Although the Company does not have direct exposure to the economic and political crises impacting Europe and the Middle East, the ripple effect of continuous uncertainty surrounding ultimate resolution, along with quantifiable measures once achieved, may result in increased risk to the Company from the standpoint of consequences to its customer base and impacts on the Hawaii tourism market.
In the second quarter of 2014, the Company adopted an enhancement to the procedures described above which limits the unallocated component of the Allowance as a percentage of the then current general component of the Allowance, rounded upward to the nearest $500,000. This is derived by taking the historical average of the percentage of the unallocated component to the general component over the maximum look back period prescribed in our methodology. The unallocated amount may be maintained at higher levels during times of economic stress conditions on a local or global basis.
Provision and Allowance for Loan and Lease Losses, page 50
2. Please refer to the response to comment 10 of our May 8, 2014 letter. Tell us and revise future filing to address the following:
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Please explain why you believe a rolling four or eight quarter period is an appropriate time period to use in determining the related losses. Provide a discussion that enables a reader to understand why shorter loss experience periods do not appear to have captured the improvement in your credit quality factors over the periods presented such that you have continually reversed portions of the allowance into income over the last three fiscal years rather than recognizing a provision for loan losses.
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Response:
The Company will revise future 10-K filings to provide disclosure consistent with the discussion below:
From 2010 through 2013, the Company utilized an eight and four quarter look-back for the purposes of determining cumulative net losses. During this time the Company believed that the eight and four quarter look-back periods were appropriate given the prevailing credit quality and loss rate conditions. The Company’s rapidly evolving loss experience necessitated the use of shorter loss analysis periods in order to ensure that loss rates would be adequately responsive to changes in loss experience. During that period, the Company considered recent loss data to be more relevant to the period then under analysis. The look-back period was also consistent with commentary provided by our primary banking regulator following our 2010 Safety and Soundness Examination.
During 2012-2013, economic conditions stabilized, and improved credit quality trends have contributed to consistent reductions to the Allowance. Given the diminishing loss rates, in the first quarter of 2014, the Company extended the look-back period to 17 quarters, with the intention of extending the look-back period each quarter thereafter to a total of 24 quarters or six years. The extension stipulates not incorporating data prior to 2010 due to anomalous loss activity during that time period. The Company also received guidance from our primary banking regulator in late 2013, supporting the use of extended look-back periods for the determination of loss factors.
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Please provide a discussion of the external proxies that were used prior to the first quarter of 2014, including the source from which you obtained them, how you determined that they were reasonable and applicable to your portfolio and the segments of the loan categories to which they were applied.
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Response:
The Company will revise future 10-K filings to provide disclosure consistent with the discussion below:
The Company applies external proxies for minimum loss rates in those loan categories with no associated loss experience during the prescribed look-back period, including Criticized credits. The Company believes the use of external proxies is a prudent approach versus using a zero loss factor for those loan categories that do not have loss experience in the look-back period. The external proxies used are based on four select credit loss rates tracked by Moody's Investor Service.
The following table describes the Moody’s loss rate that is applied as a proxy to each loan category when no associated loss experience is registered in a subsector of the loan category over the relevant look-back period.
Loan Segment
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Proxy- Moody’s Loss Rate
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Commercial, Financial and Agricultural
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Maximum of Last 5 Yrs’ Annual Corporate Bond Loss Rate
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Construction
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Cumulative 2-Yr U.S. CMBS Loss Rate
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Commercial Mortgage
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Cumulative 2-Yr U.S. CMBS Loss Rate
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Residential Mortgage
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Cumulative 2-Yr U.S. RMBS/HEL Loss Rate
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Consumer
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1-Yr U.S. ABS excl. HEL Loss Rate
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Leases
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Maximum of Last 5 Yrs’ Annual Corporate Bond Loss Rate
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In those loan categories described in the table above, specific loss rate proxies are applied based on the equivalence of respective risk ratings between the proxy rate and the loan subsector.
Based on the conformity of risk characterizations, B-rated proxy rates are matched to Substandard loan segments (risk rating 6), Ba-rated proxy rates are matched to Special Mention loan segments (risk rating 5), and Aaa, Aa, A and Baa-rated proxy rates are matched to risk ratings Strong Quality, Above Average Quality, Average Quality, and Acceptable Quality, respectively (risk ratings 1, 2, 3 and 4).
For Pass rated loan segments with no associated loss experience during the respective prescribed look-back periods, the proxy loss rate is determined by weighting each proxy loss rate (ratings Aaa, Aa, A and Baa) by the loan balance in each equivalent risk rating (Strong, Above Average, Average, and Acceptable Quality, respectively).
In assessing the appropriateness of Moody’s proxy rates, the Company conducted a comprehensive review of other potential sources of proxy loss data, evaluated the qualitative and quantitative factors influencing the relevance and reliability of proxy data, and performed a correlation analysis to determine the co-dependency of historical loss ratios with Moody’s loss rates. The analysis compared historical loss ratios in each loan category to the associated Moody’s loss rates over the last ten (10) years (2003–2012).
An analysis of the correlation between historical loss ratios and Moody’s loss rates revealed that the two metrics demonstrated a directionally consistent loss relationship in nearly every rating group and exhibited average to strong correlation across all rating groups in almost every segment. Given the results of the correlation analysis, the Company deemed application of these proxy loss rates as an enhancement to the model to be reasonable and supportable.
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Please provide a discussion of why actual historical loss factors were not used prior to the first quarter of 2014.
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Response:
The Company would like to clarify our response to comment 10 of the Staff’s May 8, 2014 letter. Our response on May 22, 2014 included the following paragraph:
“In the first quarter of 2014, management reevaluated its basic Allowance methodology and has incorporated a number of enhancements. The enhancements focus on emphasizing the Bank’s actual loss experience to generate provisions that are more reflective of current portfolio conditions and loss exposures and de-emphasizing the use of external proxies as the Bank experiences extended periods of normalized operations. This is accomplished by including additional historical loss data in the determination of loss rates and select qualitative adjustments, serving to establish a prudent, more transparent and consistently derived Allowance provision. The result of these enhancements was minimal impact to the Allowance with a net credit of $1.3 million in the first quarter of 2014. We will revise future filings to provide disclosure consistent with the disclosure provided above, as applicable.”
Prior to 2014, our Allowance methodology utilized actual historical loss factors for loan categories that had losses during the look-back periods of four or eight quarters depending on the loan type. If there were no losses during the look-back period, we utilized external proxies as the loss factors. In the first quarter of 2014, we extended the look-back period to 17 quarters, with the intention of extending the look-back period each quarter thereafter to a total of 24 quarters or six years. No data prior to 2010 would be used due to anomalous loss activity during that time period. This allows us to capture more actual historical losses, and required less use of external proxies. In our revised methodology the losses during the six year look-back period will be weighted to place more emphasis on recent loss experience. The newest two years will be weighted at 40%, the middle two years will be weighted at 33%, and the oldest two years will be weighted at 27%.
Please refer to our response to the second bullet point under comment 6 below for details on our disclosures that we will include in future 10-K filings relating to the enhancement to our Allowance methodology made in the first quarter of 2014.
3. Please refer to the response to comment 11 of our May 8, 2014 letter. The response appears to repeat information that is disclosed in your Form 10-K and related documents. The purpose of the comment was to obtain disclosures that explains to a reader why the improvements noted in your disclosures and the response do not appear to have been captured in the methodology you use to determine the appropriateness of the allowance for loan and lease losses such that you continually reverse portions of the allowance into income. These reversals contributed approximately 19%, 40% and 111% to pre-tax income in 2013, 2012 and 2011, respectively. Please tell us and revise future filings to provide a more detailed discussion of the changes in your credit quality between periods since your methodology does not appear to capture the apparent improvement in credit quality in your loan portfolio, resulting in a net credit to the loan loss provision in each period presented for the last three fiscal years and an increase in the allowance for loan and lease losses as a percentage of non-accrual loans and nonperforming assets. Please also tell us why you believe your allowance for loan losses was directionally consistent considering noted asset quality improvements and why you believe your allowance for loan losses were appropriate for these periods.
Response:
Additional details are provided below to provide further explanation on the Staff’s comments and questions.
The directional consistency is not evident in the year-over-year trends when analyzing the Allowance as a percentage of nonperforming assets or as a percentage of nonaccrual loans because nonperforming assets and nonaccrual loans represent an increasingly smaller proportion of the Company’s overall loan portfolio. Therefore changes in the level of nonperforming assets or nonaccrual loans will not be matched by equivalent percentage changes in metrics that are based on the entire loan portfolio, like the Allowance.
As noted in our Form 10-K, the Allowance as a percentage of nonperforming assets increased from 107.10% at December 31, 2012 to 179.29% at December 31, 2013. Similarly, the Allowance as a percentage of nonaccrual loans, including loans held for sale, increased from 121.53% at December 31, 2012 to 201.55% at December 31, 2013. However, at the end of 2013, nonperforming assets represented just 1.77% of the Company’s total loan portfolio. Similarly, nonaccrual loans represented just 1.58% of the total loan portfolio. The year-over-year increase in Allowance as a percentage of nonperforming assets and nonaccrual loans occurred as a result of the latter two metrics decreasing significantly from 2012 to 2013. Nonperforming assets fell from $90.0 million at December 31, 2012 to $46.8 million at December 31, 2013, a 48.1% year-over-year decline. Similarly, nonaccrual loans fell from $79.3 million at December 31, 2012 to $41.6 million at December 31, 2013, a 47.6% year-over-year decline. However, because the Allowance is an allowance on the Company’s total loan portfolio, the sharp declines in nonperforming assets and nonaccrual loans, which are a small fraction of the total loan portfolio, will not be matched by equivalent changes in the Allowance.
The Company will expand future 10-K filings to include disclosures consistent with the following:
The reserve coverage ratio of the Allowance to total loans and leases was 3.2%, 4.4% and 5.9% at December 31, 2013, 2012 and 2011, respectively. The amount of the Allowance was $83.8 million, $96.4 million, and $122.1 million at the same respective dates.
This trend was consistent with the improving credit quality as represented by non-performing assets of $46.8 million, $90.0 million, and $195.6 million at December 31, 2013, 2012, and 2011, respectively. Net charge-offs for the years ended December 31, 2013, 2012, and 2011 were $1.28 million, $6.79 million, and $30.07 million, respectively.
The general component of the Allowance is applicable to performing loans and leases and comprised 92.4%, 90.7%, and 96.1% of the total Allowance at December 31, 2013, 2012, and 2011, respectively. The amounts of the general reserves were $77.5 million, $87.4 million, and $117.3 million at December 31, 2013, 2012, and 2011, respectively.
The specific component of the Allowance evaluates for impairment and provisions for those loans that meet one or more of the following characteristics: classified as substandard, doubtful or loss, nonaccrual loans, troubled debt restructures, or any loans deemed prudent by management to analyze. The specific reserves comprised 0.4%, 3.1%, and 0.6% of the total Allowance at December 31, 2013, 2012, and 2011, respectively. The amounts of the specific reserves were $0.3 million, $3.0 million, and $0.8 million at December 31, 2013, 2012, and 2011 respectively.
4. See our comments above on providing the loss factors used in each loan segment in each loan category for each period presented and provide us a schedule that compares each of those factors to the actual losses in each of the segments.
Response:
The following schedule compares year-end loss factors for each loan category and general region to the annual net charge-off rate in each of those categories over the following year. It should be noted, as described in the response to question 1, for the purpose of determining the general allowance, loss factors are derived from cumulative charge-offs less cumulative associated recoveries over the applicable four or eight quarter look-back period. Thus, the year-end loss factors and annual net charge-off rates are not directly comparable.
Year-End Loss Factor and Annual Net Charge-Offs (NCOs) by Detailed Segment*